The falsehood of consistent 10%-11% growth in Gujarat’s agriculture.

In last 6 years, Gujarat’s agriculture had -ve years of growth -1.08% (2007) & -8.71% (2009), and a zero growth year 0.3% (2010).

Importantly, functioning of Sardar Sarovar project, BT cotton and normal monsoon for last decade, have provided a great boost to Gujarat’s agriculture.

Agri-Guj-India-GR

Page 61, GDP by Industry of Origin, Data for use of Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission.

Furthermore, another data table of Ministry of Agriculture, mentions Gujarat’s agriculture from 1996-97 to 2010-2011 (not given whether it is at constant/current price or gross/net DP), to have frequently years of high negative growth and high positive growth, the variance is so high, by selecting a year, the corresponding growth can significantly change over a period.

GujArgri1997-2011

Page 53, GDP by Industry of Origin, Data for use of Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission.

By no stretch of imagination Gujarat’s agriculture growth is consistent 10%-11%.

Reference update: Planning Commission removed 2013 report mentioned in this post with an updated 2014 report.

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